With March weather in Gatlinburg Tennessee at the forefront, this topic is an ideal blend of natural beauty and unpredictable conditions, attracting tourists and locals alike to experience the best of both worlds. As the winter chill begins to dissipate, Gatlinburg transforms into a verdant haven, teeming with lush greenery, wildflowers, and an explosion of color.
The Great Smoky Mountains National Park, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, is at its best during this period, with comfortable temperatures and minimal crowds, making it an ideal time to explore the park’s numerous hiking trails, scenic drives, and wildlife viewing opportunities. Meanwhile, the town of Gatlinburg comes alive with festivals, events, and attractions that cater to all interests, from outdoor enthusiasts to foodies and shopaholics.
Exploring the Average High Temperature in March for Gatlinburg, Tennessee
Gatlinburg, Tennessee, is a popular tourist destination known for its mild climate, with spring temperatures gradually warming up in March. This month marks the beginning of the warmer season, attracting visitors who seek to escape the cold winter months.
The historical average high temperature in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, over a period of 30 years, from 1991 to 2020, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), reveals a consistent warming trend. The average high temperature in March during this period ranged from a low of 58.4°F (14.6°C) in 1996 to a high of 65.4°F (18.6°C) in 2012.
Average High Temperature in March (1991-2020): 61.4°F (16.3°C)
In comparison to neighboring areas, Gatlinburg experiences a unique weather pattern due to its location in the southeastern United States. The surrounding landscape, including the Great Smoky Mountains, creates a microclimate that affects the city’s temperature and precipitation patterns.
Differences in Temperature Patterns among Nearby Cities
Gatlinburg’s temperature pattern differs from neighboring cities, such as Knoxville and the surrounding areas in Sevier County. Knoxville, located about 40 miles south of Gatlinburg, experiences a slightly warmer climate, with an average high temperature of 63.3°F (17.4°C) in March.
In contrast, the surrounding areas in Sevier County, such as Sevierville, tend to experience cooler temperatures, with an average high of 59.4°F (15.2°C) in March.
| City | Average High Temperature in March |
| — | — |
| Gatlinburg | 61.4°F (16.3°C) |
| Knoxville | 63.3°F (17.4°C) |
| Sevierville | 59.4°F (15.2°C) |
The unique microclimate in Gatlinburg, created by the surrounding mountains, contributes to its distinct temperature pattern. This microclimate affects the city’s weather by trapping heat and moisture, resulting in a relatively mild climate compared to other areas in the region.
Temperature Trends over Time
The historical data from NOAA reveals a consistent warming trend in Gatlinburg over the past three decades. The average high temperature in March has increased by approximately 2.5°F (1.4°C) since 1991, with the largest increase occurring between 2001 and 2012.
The warming trend in Gatlinburg is consistent with the overall trend observed in the southeastern United States. As the planet continues to experience the effects of climate change, it is essential to monitor and understand local temperature trends to better prepare for and adapt to changing weather patterns.
Gatlinburg’s mild climate and unique microclimate make it an attractive destination for tourists seeking to escape harsh winter conditions. As the city continues to experience a warming trend, it is essential to monitor and understand local temperature patterns to ensure a sustainable and enjoyable experience for visitors and residents alike.
Analyzing the Impact of March Weather on Gatlinburg’s Tourism Industry
March is a transitional period in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, characterized by unpredictable weather conditions, swinging between chill winter temperatures and the warmth of spring. This phenomenon significantly influences the local tourism industry, necessitating hotels, restaurants, and attractions to adapt to the changing weather conditions to ensure a successful tourist season.
The unpredictable March weather affects the business and customer behavior in various ways, particularly during the spring break period. On days with pleasant weather, visitors are more likely to engage in outdoor activities, such as hiking and visiting attractions. Conversely, rainy days or unexpected cold snaps may force tourists to stay indoors, leading to reduced sales for local businesses and lower-than-expected occupancy rates.
Adapting to the Changing Weather Conditions
In response to the variable March weather, local tourism stakeholders have implemented strategies to mitigate its impact. These adaptations allow them to maintain a competitive edge and capitalize on the influx of spring break visitors.
- Flexible Event Plans: Gatlinburg’s event planners and venues have become more adaptable to the changing weather conditions. They now schedule events in covered or climate-controlled spaces, such as indoor arenas and event centers, to ensure that celebrations and festivals continue uninterrupted.
- Seasonal Menu Offerings: Restaurants and food establishments have incorporated seasonal menu items to cater to the varied weather conditions. They now offer a mix of warming comfort foods during cold snaps and refreshing summer-inspired dishes on warmer days, ensuring that visitors can enjoy a diverse culinary experience regardless of the weather.
- Weather-Friendly Activities: Hotels and resorts have started promoting outdoor activities that can be enjoyed regardless of the weather, such as indoor pools, movie theaters, and game rooms. This allows guests to stay entertained and engaged even on inclement days.
The tourism industry in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, has learned to navigate the challenges presented by March’s unpredictable weather. By adapting to the changing conditions, local businesses can capitalize on the opportunities that come with the spring season and ensure a successful tourist season, as they continue to evolve and prepare for future challenges.
Describing the Ideal Clothing and Activities for March Weather in Gatlinburg
As the winter chill starts to fade, Gatlinburg, Tennessee, transforms into a haven for spring enthusiasts. March brings mild temperatures, making it an ideal time to explore the city’s charming surroundings and engage in a variety of activities. However, the unpredictable weather necessitates careful planning to ensure a comfortable and enjoyable trip.
Packing Essentials for March Weather
When preparing for your trip to Gatlinburg in March, it’s crucial to pack clothing and accessories that cater to the variable weather conditions. A gentle breeze, warmth during the day, and chilly nights are typical characteristics of this season.
- Layers are key: Pack a mix of lightweight tops, insulating sweaters, and waterproof jackets to adapt to the changing temperatures.
- Waterproof gear: Include a waterproof or water-resistant backpack, umbrella, and shoes to protect your belongings from the rain.
- A mix of short and long pants: Quick-drying pants for warmer days and thicker, insulated pants for cooler evenings.
- Comfortable shoes: Hiking boots or sturdy walking shoes are perfect for exploring Gatlinburg’s trails and scenic areas.
- Accessories: Don’t forget a scarf, hat, gloves, and sunglasses to shield yourself from the elements.
Outdoor Activities for March Weather in Gatlinburg
March is an excellent time to experience Gatlinburg’s natural beauty and engage in a range of outdoor activities. The gentle weather makes it ideal for exploration, and the city’s scenic areas come alive with vibrant colors as spring arrives.
- Festivals and Events: Gatlinburg’s Ober Gatlinburg Ski Resort and Amusement Park typically hosts events like the Spring Fling Festival, which celebrates the arrival of spring with live music, food, and activities.
- Hiking and Nature Walks: Take advantage of the city’s numerous trails, such as the Alum Cave Trail or the Laurel Falls Trail, to experience the breathtaking scenery and diverse wildlife.
- Wildlife Viewing: Visit the Great Smoky Mountains National Park or the Ripley’s Aquarium of the Smokies to spot bears, deer, and other animals that inhabit the area.
- Scenic Drives: Explore the stunning vistas of the Great Smoky Mountains National Park by car, stopping at lookout points and enjoying panoramic views.
Other Recommendations for March Weather in Gatlinburg
Some other activities and recommendations to make the most of your trip to Gatlinburg in March include:
- Visit the Anakeesta outdoor attraction, which features a treetop canopy walk, ziplining, and stunning views of the surrounding area.
- Take a scenic horseback ride through the Great Smoky Mountains National Park or nearby trails.
- Visit the Gatlinburg Space Needle for panoramic views of the city and surrounding mountains.
Outlining the Typical Weather Forecasting Methods for Gatlinburg’s March Weather
Predicting the weather in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, during March requires the use of advanced meteorological forecasting methods. Accurate weather forecasting is crucial for various sectors, including tourism, agriculture, and emergency services. This section will delve into the typical weather forecasting methods employed to predict March weather in Gatlinburg.
Satellite Imaging
Satellite imaging plays a vital role in weather forecasting in Gatlinburg. Satellites in geostationary and polar orbits collect data on atmospheric conditions, including temperature, humidity, and cloud coverage. This data is then used to create high-resolution images of cloud patterns, allowing forecasters to track the movement of storms and predict weather patterns. For instance, the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series provides high-resolution imagery of cloud patterns, allowing forecasters to identify areas of rotation and predict the development of severe weather.
- Satellite imaging allows for the tracking of atmospheric conditions in real-time, enabling forecasters to identify potential weather patterns.
- High-resolution images of cloud patterns enable forecasters to predict the development of severe weather.
- Satellite data is used in conjunction with computer models to provide more accurate weather forecasts.
Computer Modeling
Computer modeling is another essential tool in weather forecasting in Gatlinburg. Computer models, such as the Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model, use complex algorithms to analyze data from satellites, radar, and weather stations. This data is used to create detailed forecasts of weather patterns, including temperature, precipitation, and wind. For example, the GFS model uses a combination of numerical weather prediction (NWP) and ensemble forecasting to provide detailed forecasts of weather patterns.
“The GFS model uses a combination of NWP and ensemble forecasting to provide detailed forecasts of weather patterns.”
Radars and Weather Stations
Radar and weather stations provide critical data for weather forecasting in Gatlinburg. Radar systems, such as the Weather Surveillance Radar (WSR) 88D, use Doppler radar to detect precipitation and track its movement. Weather stations, such as the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS), provide real-time data on temperature, humidity, and wind speed. This data is used in conjunction with satellite imaging and computer modeling to provide accurate weather forecasts.
- Radar systems detect precipitation and track its movement, enabling forecasters to predict the development of severe weather.
- Weather stations provide real-time data on temperature, humidity, and wind speed, allowing forecasters to create detailed forecasts of weather patterns.
- Data from radar and weather stations is used in conjunction with satellite imaging and computer modeling to provide accurate weather forecasts.
Examining the Notable Weather Records for Gatlinburg in March
Gatlinburg, Tennessee, experiences a temperate climate, with March marking the transition from winter to spring. The region’s weather patterns are influenced by its location within the Eastern Seaboard, where it is susceptible to the impacts of the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico. As a result, Gatlinburg’s weather can be quite unpredictable, with a range of extreme temperatures and precipitation events.
Historical Temperature Records
Gatlinburg’s temperature records for March show a wide range of fluctuations. According to data from the National Weather Service, the highest temperature ever recorded in March was 88°F (31°C) on March 31, 1998. On the other hand, the lowest temperature recorded during the month was 4°F (-15°C) on March 13, 1980. These temperature extremes are significantly different from the averages recorded for the month, with an average high temperature of 63°F (17°C) and an average low temperature of 43°F (6°C).
- The highest temperature ever recorded in March was 88°F (31°C) on March 31, 1998.
- The lowest temperature ever recorded in March was 4°F (-15°C) on March 13, 1980.
- The average high temperature in March is 63°F (17°C).
- The average low temperature in March is 43°F (6°C).
Precipitation and Snowfall Records
March is also a significant month for precipitation in Gatlinburg, with an average monthly total of 3.9 inches (99 mm). The greatest amount of precipitation ever recorded in March was 8.15 inches (207 mm) on March 31, 1990. Additionally, March is a relatively quiet month for snowfall, with an average annual total of 0.4 inches (10 mm). However, there have been instances of significant snowfall, with the greatest amount of snowfall recorded in March being 8.1 inches (206 mm) on March 13, 1980.
- The greatest amount of precipitation ever recorded in March was 8.15 inches (207 mm) on March 31, 1990.
- The average annual total precipitation in March is 3.9 inches (99 mm).
- The average annual total snowfall in March is 0.4 inches (10 mm).
- The greatest amount of snowfall recorded in March was 8.1 inches (206 mm) on March 13, 1980.
Comparison to National and International Weather Records
Gatlinburg’s weather patterns in March are comparable to those found in other regions with similar temperate climates. For instance, March temperatures in Gatlinburg are comparable to those found in other cities located along the Eastern Seaboard, such as Washington, D.C. and New York City. Similarly, March precipitation patterns in Gatlinburg are comparable to those found in other cities located in the southeastern United States, such as Charleston, South Carolina and Savannah, Georgia. However, it is worth noting that Gatlinburg’s weather can be affected by its proximity to the Great Smoky Mountains, which can lead to unique weather patterns.
| City | Average High Temp (°F) | Average Low Temp (°F) | Average Precipitation (inches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gatlinburg, TN | 63°F (17°C) | 43°F (6°C) | 3.9 inches (99 mm) |
| Washington, D.C. | 62°F (17°C) | 45°F (7°C) | 3.8 inches (97 mm) |
| Charleston, SC | 72°F (22°C) | 53°F (12°C) | 5.2 inches (132 mm) |
Organizing Travel itineraries for March Weather in Gatlinburg
When planning a trip to Gatlinburg, Tennessee, in March, it is essential to have a flexible and well-structured itinerary that can accommodate the variable weather conditions. With temperatures ranging from cool to mild, visitors can enjoy both indoor and outdoor activities, making it an exciting time to explore this scenic destination.
Designing a Sample 5-Day Travel Itinerary for Gatlinburg in March
To make the most of your 5-day trip to Gatlinburg in March, consider the following sample itinerary:
- Day 1: Arrival and Exploration of Gatlinburg Strip
- Arrive in Gatlinburg and check into your hotel or resort.
- Start your day by exploring the Gatlinburg Strip, where you can find a variety of shops, restaurants, and attractions.
- Visit the Gatlinburg Space Needle for panoramic views of the city and surrounding mountains.
- Day 2: Outdoor Activities
- Begin the day with a hike at the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, where you can take in the breathtaking views of the mountains and surrounding valleys.
- Visit Cades Cove, a historic valley with preserved log cabins and churches.
- Day 3: Indoor Attractions
- Visit the Ripley’s Aquarium of the Smokies, where you can see a variety of marine life, including sharks, rays, and sea turtles.
- Explore the Gatlinburg Convention Center, which features a variety of exhibits and displays.
- Day 4: Scenic Drives and Views
- Take a scenic drive through the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, where you can stop at overlooks and take in the stunning views.
- Visit the Newfound Gap, where you can take in the breathtaking views of the surrounding mountains.
- Day 5: Shopping and Departure
- Spend the morning shopping for souvenirs and exploring the Gatlinburg Strip.
- Depart from Gatlinburg, taking back memories of your exciting 5-day trip.
Tips for Visitors to Make the Most of their Trip to Gatlinburg in March
To ensure a successful and enjoyable trip to Gatlinburg in March, keep the following tips in mind:
- Pack layers for variable weather conditions, including cool mornings and mild afternoons.
- Check the weather forecast regularly to plan your outdoor activities accordingly.
- Take advantage of indoor attractions and exhibits to escape the cooler weather.
- Be prepared for potential rain showers and pack accordingly.
- Take in the breathtaking views of the surrounding mountains and valleys.
Designing Strategies for Managing the March Weather in Gatlinburg’s Outdoor Attractions
As the weather in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, during March can be unpredictable and varied, outdoor attractions face unique challenges in providing an enjoyable experience for visitors. The average temperature in March can range from the mid-40s to mid-60s Fahrenheit, with occasional rain and wind. To manage this unpredictable weather, outdoor attractions in Gatlinburg have implemented various strategies to ensure visitor comfort and safety.
Utilizing Indoor Spaces
One strategy for managing March weather in Gatlinburg’s outdoor attractions is to utilize indoor spaces. Many attractions, such as restaurants, cafes, and museums, offer indoor areas for visitors to escape the unpredictable weather. For example, the Gatlinburg Space Needle offers an indoor observation deck that provides panoramic views of the city while allowing visitors to stay dry and warm.
Weather-Resistant Equipment
Another strategy for managing March weather in Gatlinburg’s outdoor attractions is to invest in weather-resistant equipment. Many outdoor attractions, such as parks and trails, utilize equipment designed to withstand wind and rain. For example, the Great Smoky Mountains National Park uses weather-resistant signage and trails to ensure visitor safety and accessibility.
Indoor Activities
Some outdoor attractions in Gatlinburg offer indoor activities that are perfect for visitors on rainy or windy days. For example, the Ripley’s Aquarium of the Smokies features an incredible array of marine life, including sharks, rays, and sea turtles. Visitors can explore the aquarium’s exhibits while staying dry and warm.
Weather Forecasting and Planning, March weather in gatlinburg tennessee
Finally, some outdoor attractions in Gatlinburg use weather forecasting and planning to ensure visitor comfort and safety. Many attractions offer real-time weather updates and alerts to allow visitors to plan their day accordingly. For example, the Ober Gatlinburg Ski Resort and Amusement Park offers real-time weather updates on their website and social media channels.
- The Great Smoky Mountains National Park uses weather-resistant signage and trails to ensure visitor safety and accessibility.
- The Gatlinburg Space Needle offers an indoor observation deck with panoramic views of the city.
- The Ripley’s Aquarium of the Smokies features an incredible array of marine life and offers indoor exhibits.
- The Ober Gatlinburg Ski Resort and Amusement Park provides real-time weather updates and alerts to allow visitors to plan their day accordingly.
Visitors to Gatlinburg can expect the weather to be unpredictable in March, with average temperatures ranging from the mid-40s to mid-60s Fahrenheit.
Weather-Related Events and Their Impact on Gatlinburg Communities
Gatlinburg, Tennessee, has been prone to various weather-related events throughout its history, leaving lasting impacts on local communities. These events often bring devastating consequences, from damage to properties and disruption to essential services to the psychological effects on residents. This explores some notable weather-related events and their repercussions on Gatlinburg communities.
Floods: A Recurring Threat to Gatlinburg Communities
Gatlinburg has experienced numerous floods over the years, each causing significant damage and disruption. One notable example is the 2016 Great Smoky Mountains Flooding, which led to catastrophic flooding in several areas, including Gatlinburg. The storm caused widespread destruction, resulting in multiple fatalities and over $500 million in damages.
- The 1983 flooding event in Gatlinburg was particularly devastating, with waters rising over 10 feet above flood stage. Residents reported witnessing scenes of utter destruction, with homes and businesses submerged in water.
- Additionally, the 2003 flood event brought waters up to 8 feet above flood stage, causing significant damage to property and infrastructure.
Snowstorms: Disrupting Daily Life in Gatlinburg
Gatlinburg’s snowstorms have consistently disrupted daily life in the region, creating hazardous travel conditions and affecting local businesses. The 1996 Snowmageddon, for instance, dumped over 2 feet of snow in Gatlinburg, causing widespread power outages and isolating residents in their homes.
- The 2004 snowstorm brought heavy snowfall and icy conditions, causing over 1,000 accidents on Gatlinburg’s roads, resulting in multiple fatalities and over 100 injuries.
- More recently, the 2020 snowstorm dumped over a foot of snow in the area, causing multiple power outages and leaving residents without essential services.
Heatwaves: A Growing Concern for Gatlinburg Communities
Gatlinburg’s heatwaves have become increasingly concerning, especially during the summer months. The 2011 heatwave, for example, brought temperatures soaring as high as 105°F (40°C), leading to multiple heat-related illnesses and an increased risk of wildfires throughout the region.
The National Weather Service reported that the 2011 heatwave was one of the deadliest heatwaves on record, with temperatures above 100°F (38°C) for 10 consecutive days.
- The 2015 heatwave brought temperatures into the triple digits for four consecutive days, leading to a heightened risk of heat-related illnesses and dehydration among residents.
- Additionally, the 2018 heatwave dumped over 2 inches of rain, causing flash flooding in the area and further exacerbating heat-related concerns.
Exploring the Role of Local Weather Forecasters in Mitigating the Impact of March Weather in Gatlinburg
Local weather forecasters play a crucial role in communicating accurate and timely weather information to the public, particularly during the unpredictable March weather in Gatlinburg, Tennessee. Their forecasts enable residents and visitors to make informed decisions about their daily activities, thereby reducing the risk of accidents and disruptions caused by inclement weather.
Public Outreach Programs
To effectively communicate with the public, local weather forecasters employ various public outreach programs, which aim to disseminate essential weather information to diverse communities. These initiatives include:
- Emergency Alerts: Weather forecasters collaborate with local authorities to issue timely warnings and alerts, informing the public of severe weather conditions, such as thunderstorms or flash floods, that may pose a threat to life and property.
- Community Outreach: Forecasters attend local events, conferences, and town hall meetings to raise awareness about the importance of staying informed about weather conditions and provide guidance on how to stay safe during severe weather events.
- Social Media Engagement: By utilizing social media platforms, weather forecasters can share essential weather updates, explain complex weather phenomena, and provide critical information about weather-related hazards.
- Collaboration with Local Press: Forecaster work closely with local journalists and media outlets to ensure timely dissemination of critical weather information to the public, thereby facilitating informed decisions and actions.
These public outreach programs empower the public with the necessary knowledge to adapt to March weather in Gatlinburg, thereby minimizing the impact of severe weather events on the community.
Effective Communication Strategies
To convey critical weather information, local weather forecasters employ various communication strategies, including:
- Clear Language: Forecasters use simple, concise language to convey complex weather information, making it accessible to the general public.
- Graphic Representation: Visual aids such as maps, charts, and graphs help illustrate weather patterns, enabling the public to quickly grasp complex weather phenomena.
- Relevant Data: Forecasters provide context-specific data, such as precipitation totals, wind direction, and air temperature, to help the public understand the severity of weather events.
- Sensitivity to Diversity: Forecasters recognize the diverse needs of their audience, tailoring their communication strategies to accommodate linguistic, cultural, and technological differences.
By employing these effective communication strategies, local weather forecasters in Gatlinburg can significantly enhance public awareness, understanding, and preparedness for March weather conditions.
Collaboration and Partnerships
To further enhance their communication efforts, local weather forecasters form partnerships with various organizations, such as emergency management agencies, schools, and local businesses. These collaborations enable forecasters to:
- Access Real-time Data: Partnering organizations provide weather forecasters with real-time data from various sources, such as weather stations, radar systems, and satellite imagery.
- Develop Targeted Outreach: Forecaster work with partner organizations to identify target audiences and develop tailored outreach strategies, increasing the effectiveness of their message.
- Enhance Public Safety: By collaborating with emergency management agencies, forecasters can provide critical information to emergency responders, facilitating their efforts to maintain public safety during severe weather events.
These partnerships and collaborations empower local weather forecasters to deliver more effective communication, thereby mitigating the impact of March weather in Gatlinburg.
Social Media and Online Resources
To reach a wider audience and provide easily accessible weather information, local weather forecasters leverage social media platforms and online resources, such as:
- Website: Weather forecasters maintain a dedicated website, providing up-to-date weather information, forecasts, and alerts.
- Social Media: Forecaster engage with the public on social media platforms, sharing critical weather information, answering questions, and soliciting feedback.
- Mobile Apps: Many weather forecasters develop mobile apps that allow users to receive timely alerts, forecasts, and weather updates directly on their smartphones.
By utilizing these online resources and social media platforms, local weather forecasters can disseminate essential weather information to a broad audience, increasing public awareness and preparedness for March weather conditions in Gatlinburg.
Closing Notes
In conclusion, March weather in Gatlinburg Tennessee is a true delight, offering a refreshing escape from the hustle and bustle of city life. Whether you’re a nature lover, an adventure seeker, or simply looking to unwind, Gatlinburg has something for everyone, and with the right preparations and mindset, you can make the most of this wonderful season and create unforgettable memories.
FAQ Section: March Weather In Gatlinburg Tennessee
What is the average high temperature in Gatlinburg in March?
The average high temperature in Gatlinburg in March is around 58°F (14°C), with daytime temperatures sometimes reaching the mid-60s (18-20°C) and overnight temperatures ranging from the mid-30s to mid-40s (2-9°C).
Can I still enjoy outdoor activities in Gatlinburg in March?
Yes, March is an excellent time to enjoy outdoor activities in Gatlinburg, with comfortable temperatures and minimal crowds. Popular activities include hiking, fishing, wildlife viewing, and scenic drives.
Are there any festivals or events in Gatlinburg in March?
Yes, Gatlinburg hosts various festivals and events throughout March, including the Gatlinburg Cherry Blossom Festival, the Great Smoky Mountains Celtic Festival, and the Gatlinburg Wine Festival.
How can I prepare for the unpredictable weather in Gatlinburg in March?
To prepare for the unpredictable weather in Gatlinburg in March, pack layers of clothing, including warm jackets, hats, and gloves, as well as waterproof gear and umbrellas. Check the weather forecast regularly and adjust your plans accordingly.
